arXiv:2606.09289v4 Announce Type: replace

Abstract: Recognising intentions from continuous movement trajectories is an important problem in spatiotemporal data mining. This becomes difficult when behaviours change over time and their boundaries cannot be directly observed. Football provides a useful setting for studying this problem because tactical intentions emerge from the coordinated movements of multiple players during possession. Existing methods for match phase recognition often classify individual frames, use predefined spatial rules, or identify only selected tactical patterns. They therefore cannot fully describe continuous possession sequences in which tactical intentions change over time. We address this gap by treating the identification of the in-possession match phase as a hierarchical sequence segmentation task. The framework includes three tactical intentions (Invade Opponent Space, Keep Possession, and Scoring) and six phases (Build Up, Progression, Counter Attack, Maintenance, Sustained Threat, and Finishing). We propose a Temporal Graph Attention Network (T-GAN) that combines player interaction graphs, contextual features, and Transformer based temporal modelling. The framework was evaluated on seven Bundesliga matches using leave-one-match-out validation and compared with rule-based, Random Forest, GNN, and Transformer baselines at both frame and sequence levels. The results show that temporal modelling is important for coherent phase segmentation, while graph modelling provides additional value for transition phases such as Counter Attack. The framework provides an interpretable method for discovering intention based behavioural segments from continuous player tracking data and supports automated tactical analysis in football.